Opinion: Practicing Factfulness based on data.
A few months back experts said opening schools would be a super spreader event. For the most part, like all super spreader predictions, this forecast was also wrong: New research…
A majority of states do not require school students to wear face masks in school. A majority of states have ended their emergency declarations. Only 8 states still have indoor…
“I don’t think it’s smart,” Fauci said during a CNN interview after he was shown pictures of college football stadiums with maskless fans. “Outdoors is always better than indoors, but…
I have seen forecasts that Halloween will be a superspreader so of course, Thanksgiving and Christmas are back on the list (neither were superspreaders in 2020 per the data): COVID-19…
Disease model forecasts make astrology look reliable: In the final weeks of this summer, with Covid-19 cases soaring and the rituals of autumn about to resume, many people assumed that…
It’s as if Crying Wolf at every opportunity has backfired and absolutely no one is going to pay attention to “expert” epiastrologists anymore: “While we have not linked any cases…
Disease models are essentially useless. Their primary value is to issue scary forecasts, that are wrong. Even when correct, they do not provide actionable value. “In August, we estimated there…
Re-opening of public schools was going to cause a mass increase in “positive cases”. Like nearly all super spreader predictions, this one failed too. In many countries, children have been…
Bedford has just been named a MacArthur Fellow and was also awarded a $9 million, 7-year grant from the Howard Hughes Medical Institute for his work on the pandemic. Source:…
Leading up to Labor Day weekend (Sep 4, 5 and 6), the “experts” warned us of a “Surge expected after Labor Day” as people would congregate and not wear cloth…