Now they seek their exit strategy from the pandemic

The data is forming a trend that suggest this is already starting to happen, regionally. Public health is just now seeking an exit strategy:

One possibility would be an echo of the 1890 pandemic: The virus slowly drops off as countries develop herd immunity due to a large majority of the population being infected or getting vaccinated. After anywhere from a few years to a few decades, it only circulates among children and rarely causes anything more serious than the sniffles.

Or the virus could be stamped out completely, or close to it, with vaccines. It could disappear like smallpox, or be pushed to such low levels in the U.S. that it shows up only in isolated clusters, as with measles.

Source: Coronavirus variants will prolong the pandemic. But here’s how it will end – SFChronicle.com

Note – “few years” – typically 1 to 3 years, which we are at. The above report is surprisingly hopeful and seems grounded in the reality-based world. About time we see these.

Vaccines will be the final closure, so to speak, but many experts have suggested we have begun to see herd effects. Herd immunity (HI) does not mean the virus vanishes but as there are fewer and fewer targets for the virus, the pandemic gradually comes to an end.

Our strategy has been to delay cases as long as possible in the theory that vaccines would save the day. Instead, we have mostly delayed cases to their peaking this winter – after which things drop off on their own. If this occurs, vaccines will play a minor role in Covid-19 going endemic.

Like the 1968 influenza pandemic, that pandemic ended before vaccines had been widely deployed. This seems a possibility with Covid-19.

In my state, based on official statements from public health “experts”, we (meaning my household) are unlikely to have access to vaccinations until Fall of 2021 or even winter of 2021/2022.

By which time, it becomes a moot issue. There are “Experts” now suggesting the pandemic is over with by mid-2021.

Remember, I am an idiot with no health care experience. I do not make predictions. I make observations and ask stupid questions.

Health experts urge confidence in vaccine after superstar’s death

Hank Aaron died two weeks after being vaccinated (he was very old).

But this quote is stunning:

He said in a program where millions of older Americans and those with serious health conditions are being vaccinated, some are going to die of heart attacks, strokes and other causes that have nothing to do with a vaccine.

Source: Health experts urge confidence in vaccine after superstar’s death

Can we apply that logic to all of those deaths “due to Covid-19”?

Locally, a large number of deaths were of persons receiving in-patient hospice care at the time they died – of Covid-19.

Think about that for five seconds. But they were counted as “death due to Covid-19”.

But now an influential public health “expert” says when a person dies after having a vaccine – it could really be a death due to a bunch of other things.

Yet every elderly death with a positive test case is classified as a Covid-19 death.

Pubic health literally wants to have this both ways – wonder why no one believes anything they say?

Do they even realize what they are saying?

This is me too

I would prefer to be writing positive things about tech, energy, transportation too.

Unfortunately, I have a very low tolerance for bull shit [1]- and the field of public health is full of bull shit by the shovel full.

Quite a few people are frustrated by the level of illogical nonsense that has emanated from public health, the media and politicians and many have begun to speak out. It’s been a steady stream of inconsistent, contradictory, illogical and incoherent nonsense.

Developments in the last couple of days really triggered me and I am likely, perhaps, to become more emphatic about the BS we are being fed. There’s an old saying about “treat them like mushrooms – throw them in the dark and feed them bull shit”… That’s how public health treat us.

[1] By bull shit tolerance is very low. This might be because of my training – undergrad degree in computer science (and 3 courses shy of a degree in math too), a graduate degree in software engineering, and an MBA (analysis and computer modeling). Precision and logic are important and its how my brain is trained to operate. When its working … It might also be because of multiple traumatic brain injuries which caused me a host of challenges throughout life. Regardless, I do not tolerate bull shit. (If you want to know, one 5″ skull fracture, moderate TBI diagnosed years later, 5 more knock out blows – subsequent speech problems, tinnitus, six kinds of headaches including visual migraines, brain perseveration, anxiety, sleep disorders, occasional swallowing difficulties, sensitivity to light and sound – and more. Brain injuries are not fun.)

Oregon says will not be able to have vaccinated all seniors/educators until early May

Source: Oregon reports 877 new confirmed and presumptive COVID-19 cases, 22 new deaths and OHA corrects slide shown at press event today

In addition to educator and elder citizens, phase 1b also includes a set of “essential workers”. This group has not yet been defined for Oregon. It is also unclear if phase 1c will start early and overlap with phase 1b. Phase 1b is overlapping with 1a here as the teachers become eligible on Monday.

At the national level, the CDC’s definition for phase 1b included 30 million workers. CDC originally included age 75+ in 1b but many states have expanded that to include age 65+. Phase 1 c, by the CDC’s estimate, added 129 million more people to the prioritized lists – this is the largest segment designated so far.

Thus phase 1c might begin in mid-May and extend well into the summer, at least.

The general population not in a prioritized group is now likely out to the Fall of 2021 (that is the official word for my state).

Tennessee thinks general population vaccines might not come until Q4 2021 or even 2022

NASHVILLE – The Tennessee Department of Health has updated Tennessee’s COVID-19 Vaccination Plan as the state continues to prioritize Tennesseans most at risk of illness and death from COVID-19.

Source: TDH Updates COVID-19 Vaccination Plan

Read the fine print – Phase 2a/b is in Q2/Q3, then “Congregate living/grocery workers” in Q3/Q4. The general population comes after that.

European countries mandate medical-grade masks, acknowledge that cotton face masks were near worthless

They’ve known this for almost 100 years:

Confronting new, more transmissible variants of the coronavirus and a winter spike in infections, a number of European countries are beginning to make medical-grade face masks mandatory in the hope that they can slow the spread of the disease.

Source: European countries mandate medical-grade masks over cloth face coverings –CNN

Public health continues to undertake, involuntary, non-informed consent medical experiments on the population.

Germany now joins France in required certified masks, Austria and the White House in requiring N95 masks. In a couple of months, we will likely be required to wear hazmat suits with self contained breathing apparatus in order buy groceries.

Public health has demonstrated it is a religion based on beliefs, not a science. Quacks.

Austria joins FRance and White house in saying cloth masks do not work

Austria now joins France and the White House in saying that cloth masks do not work.

Last spring, public health quacks denied 100 years of published literature. The literature was clear – N95 masks work, certified surgical masks, properly used and replaced, may be helpful, and no scientific evidence based on data to support the use of cloth face masks. None.

I have a very long, detailed, references cited post on face masks that I had posted last spring but later took off line. I may return that post to visibility now. What I wrote turns out to have been spot on.

Cotton face masks and the data show that they were useless. Here’s the data just for my state – you can draw these for any state in the U.S. and all look a like.

What is a coherent theory to explain this – if face masks worked?

The only explanation is that the face masks that were being used, with high compliance did not work.

And yes, I will dig up those old posts soon.

OHSA has specific rules on the use of N95 respirators in the workplace. There are many groups of people who cannot wear N95 masks. I have 3 of the conditions listed for which N95 mask use is ill advised. Last spring, I had to go through “training” to wear an N95 mask for a project because I was unable to wear one for more than a few minutes. With much practice, wearing a mask first at my desk, I was able to eventually wear a mask long enough to do the project (high tech aerospace coating materials). Just because you can wear such a mask does not meant that every one can. Please read the link to the OSHA rules.

If you wanted to create conspiracy theories …

SACRAMENTO, Calif. (AP) — California Gov. Gavin Newsom has from the start said his coronavirus policy decisions would be driven by data shared with the public to provide maximum transparency.

But with the state starting to emerge from its worst surge, his administration won’t disclose key information that will help determine when his latest stay-at-home order is lifted.

State health officials said they rely on a very complex set of measurements that would confuse and potentially mislead the public if they were made public.

Source: It’s a secret: California keeps key virus data from public

They refuse to share their data with other public health officers.

Oh, those poor little stupid members of the public can’t be trusted. Leave it to the technocrat experts to know what’s best for you – because they use “models”

If you wonder why conspiracy theories gain traction, well, there you go …

Continue reading If you wanted to create conspiracy theories …

Public health did not think this through

Because financial losses would surely be a better incentive to ramp up production of vaccines faster than has ever been done before in history?

Earlier this week, WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus criticized drugmakers for seeking profits from the pandemic and mostly supplying wealthy countries.

Source: Pfizer to supply 40M COVID-19 shots for poor countries | National News | martinsvillebulletin.com

This is what happens when public health experts voice economic opinions without adding the caveat, that I typically do with health topics – that I am an idiot who knows nothing about health care.