Post pandemic inflation expected

  • Increasing demand for gasoline will drive up prices
  • Increasing demand for autos as people begin driving more miles again
  • Increasing demand for restaurants, hotels, air travel and tourism
  • Health care spending already up by +14.7% year over year. The ACA failed to control costs, as promised.
  • Increased demand for buying homes, already underway
  • And $1.9 trillion more printing of money to prime the demand increase

Source: Houses, healthcare will get more expensive as US economy recovers

Postive daily test results up slightly, but more tests were reported

Last summer, when I did the analysis, 2/3ds of the increase in positive test results in my state was due to a ramp up in number of tests given.

This chart from the Covid Tracking Project shows a slight uptick in positive test results but also an increase in total tests given.

In some areas, test results are delayed by days – even up to a week – and after severe weather, the reports are delayed by more. We might be seeing lagged test results from 1 to 2 weeks ago. Who knows?

Daily positive test counts are a noisy data series and not useful for predicting short term trends. They need to be smoothed over a minimum of 7 days and 15 days is better to filter out the worst of the noise. Similarly, death reports lag by weeks to months.

The most reliable indicator is hospital bed census which is near real time, and immune to wild fluctuations but it too is a delayed view. In my state, the median time from diagnosis to hospitalization is 12 days (varies over time but close enough).

The Covid Tracking Project has been a volunteer run effort. They have announced they will be shutting down on March 7th.

Why Amazon wants a $15 Federal minimum wage-to crush its competition

As Amazon lobbies for a higher minimum wage, experts say that the company is not making the decision solely out of the goodness of Jeff Bezos’ heart.

Source: Amazon’s $15 minimum wage push is a strategic business decision

Corporations have long used government regulation to harm competitors while benefiting themselves. It is also known as “regulatory capture” – where the businesses being regulated mostly write their own rules, and do so in a way to harm competitors or reduce future competition.

Amazon already averages over $15/hour pay so the legislation does not affect Amazon – but it would harm small businesses and others in low cost of living locations throughout the U.S.

It also enables Jeff Bezos to earn “virtue signaling” points in the public opinion-sphere.

Continue reading Why Amazon wants a $15 Federal minimum wage-to crush its competition

The pandemic gift to Amazon

NEW YORK (AP) — Best Buy said Thursday that it laid off 5,000 full-time store workers earlier this month, even as the company’s sales soared during the pandemic as homebound people bought laptops, TVs and other gadgets.

The company said it cut the jobs because more shoppers are choosing to buy online instead of coming inside its stores.


Best Buy’s workforce has shrunk in the last year after having to furlough workers when it closed stores during the pandemic. It currently has more than 100,000 workers, down by 21,000, or 17%, from the year before.

Source: Best Buy cut 5,000 jobs even as sales soared during pandemic | NewsNation Now

Predictable: University of Pennsylvania gave vaccinations to family members of employees

The vaccine privilege race continues unabated:

A second Pennsylvania health system has acknowledged that it gave the COVID-19 vaccine to employees’ family members, but said it halted the program after discussions with the state Department of Health.

The University of Pennsylvania Health System said that its Chester County Hospital ran a “lottery system” for family members of employees who otherwise met the state’s eligibility requirements.

Source: Another Pennsylvania health network vaccinates employee kin | Times Leader

Health care systems are significantly corrupt due to their administrators, who get away with this by hiding behind the good deeds and goodwill of their medical staff.

These behaviors have occurred nationwide including Overlake Medical Center and others which offered out of line vaccinations to those who donated to their hospital foundation.

CDC Data confirms peak deaths occurred in early January

January 28th and on February 1st I said peak deaths were likely behind us, contrary to then current news reports:

If this holds true across the country – and there is strong evidence to suggest it does – then the U.S. hit peak deaths somewhere from late December to early January.

The peak death numbers you see now at end of January are catching up with lagging death reports from weeks ago.

February 27:

Some one posted a chart using “Actual death date” data from the CDC. Peak week of deaths in the U.S. was January 9th (black region on this chart), confirming my hypothesis, above. This is great news! We have passed peak deaths! (With declining new cases, hospital and ICU bed census, we will not soon see a dramatic increase in deaths – by actual dates – although we may still see reports of past deaths.)

Because of long lag times, the CDC’s chart showing “daily reported deaths” is a month or so behind. The random delays in reporting deaths time shifts the death trend in to the future. 2 weeks ago, Ohio began adding 4,000+ deaths occurring in October to December, into their recent daily reports.

For these reasons, death data presented in most charts show public health data collection efficiency and not a trend in deaths by actual date.