Follow up: What happened to “microplastics”?
Recent studies indicate early panic over microplastics may have been due to false positives and contaminated samples.
Follow up: Economy: Dr Doom says “Stock markets will drop another 40%”
In 2022, Roubini predicted a market crash. Instead, the markets went up sharply.
Follow up: How did we survive before the era of “Extreme Heat Warnings”?
Source: How did we survive before the era of “Extreme Heat Warnings”? The maximum temperature reached was 95. Everyone in Portland died.
Expert predictions of the future worse than random guesses
Tests have been run in the past that found expert predictions of the future - even in the not distant future - are highly inaccurate.
Climate: Predicting the future rarely goes well
Predicting the future seems to rarely work out well. An expert climate prediction from 2000 falls apart and the expert is no longer talking to the media.
Media follow up: “Solar Storm, 22 states face blackouts”
No state suffered a blackout.
Follow up: Forecasts for wildland fires this year did not come true
The year was forecast to have devastating wildfires all over the west. But that didn't happen.
Follow up: Palisades Fire
The media blamed climate change for the Palisades Fire. But in October 2025, an arson suspect was arrested, accused of starting a fire that led to the conflagration.
Models: Another model failure
In 2023, experts said The Great Salt Lake would dry up within 5 years. How did that turn out?
Media: Women will have more sex with robots than men, by 2025
Have you noticed that most media hyped forecasts for the future turn out wrong? They never do follow ups.
Follow up: 2 week old hurricane forecast
Less than 2 weeks ago, there was a model forecast for a major hurricane to strike Florida yesterday... not too accurate.
Public health: Evidence of a Wuhan lab leak
Numerous government agencies concluded Covid was a lab leak - but this information was hidden from the public.
Follow Up: Covid Surge May Hit at Holidays
By February 2025, it was decided this was the "mildest Covid Winter yet". Hmmmm.