Expert predictions of the future worse than random guesses
Tests have been run in the past that found expert predictions of the future - even in the not distant future - are highly inaccurate.
Media: “I moved abroad” stories are biased to Europe
A pop meme in the media is "I moved abroad" stories, with about 80% detailing a move to Europe. Yet only about 20+/-% of Americans abroad live in Europe.
Education: Who studies abroad?
Data shows that humanities students more likely to come from wealthier families, far more likely to do study abroad programs.
Economy: The end of free trade
Globalization went wild from the 1980s to 2020s. Now we've gone full protectionism. Older workers pay the costs of this flip, at both ends.
Finance: What happened to microloans and microcredit?
In the 1990s and early 2000s, "microloans" and "microcredit" were the rage in spurring economic growth. But they did not work and left people in poverty.
Business: Globalization and free trade is dead
Protectionism is now hip. Free trade is so 20th century.
Demographics: Population pyramid for China
From labor rich to labor poor in the near future.
Economy: Should billionaires be forced to give away all wealth to the government?
Bill Gates has donated over $200 billion to charitable causes, WHO, foundations, research, drug discovery, education and more.
International: What % of “Boomers” vs “Gen Z” did international travel?
Gen Z has done 4x more travel than Boomers at similar ages.