Public health: They did everything right but still got Covid
Why mitigations and lockdowns were mostly useless: For more than two years I basically lived like a hermit to avoid just this scenario. Sure, after getting vaxxed and boosted I…
Media notices disease model projections mostly worthless
Predictions about the pandemic rarely age well. In the United States, the pandemic appeared to be winding down in May 2021 amid a vigorous vaccination campaign, only to get wound…
Follow up: Monkeypox cases to hit 100,000 in August
First, we have this forecast from May which projected that everyone in the world would have monkeypox by the end of June. Not a parody. Self-described epidemiologist, nutritionist and health…
25- Demographics: Pandemic policy effects on students may last decades
Just as WW2 impacted population demographics and age distributions up to the present, the policies (most of which did not work) of public health will cost society and individuals for…
Follow up: Over 650,000 attend EAA AirVenture in Oshkosh, WI. Covid-19 cases fell.
Oddly, no one predicted this to be a super spreader event – yet a similar size event in Sturgis SD a week later was forecast to be a super spreader.…
Early: When do CEOs wake up in the morning?
People who suffer from sleep disorders probably not welcome in the executive suites: Specifically, here are the survey’s most popular wake-up times: 6 a.m. (37% of respondents) 5 a.m. (27%)…
As of July, over 80% of US population has had Covid
We estimate that 82% of people in US have been infected at least once as of July 11(Figure 6.1). 102_briefing_United_States_of_America_8.pdf (healthdata.org) Related: Nearly 80% of U.S. children have had COVID-19…
Follow up: San Diego Comic-Con 2022 – A Super Spreader For Comic Creators?
Pundits said San Diego Comic Con 2022 was a super spreader event. Source: San Diego Comic-Con 2022 – A Super Spreader For Comic Creators? It was held July 21-July 24.…
Why community use of “masks” does not stop the spread of Covid-19
This is the calculation I did months ago. But I am brain injured idiot, so what do I know? Read this thread to understand the problem with masks as a…
Follow up: OHSU predicts hospitalizations to peak around 220 in June
OHSU Health roles (Interesting – that now goes to a dead link – let’s hide the error.) A later revision put it at about a peak of 320. Then they…