It’s worse than we thought: “Second Analysis of Ferguson’s Model”
In the past I had some comments on Neil Ferguson’s disease model and have repeatedly noted its poor quality. This model was used, last spring, as the basis for setting…
Interesting comparison finds ICL disease model was worthless
Disease models have been a fiasco from day one: We can refer to a natural experiment in Sweden for some clarity. Sweden’s government did not lock down the country’s economy,…
Remember smart phone tracing apps?
Update: This says several U.S. states have rolled out contact tracing apps. Plus, Google and Apple just announced they are now rolling out contact tracing apps to all Android and…
What if public health disease mitigation does not work or does not work well?
We have social distancing, physical distancing, six foot spacing, face masks, schools closed and more. But what if these public health measures do not work or do not work well?…
Utah mostly abandons its contact tracing smart phone app
The GPS-based contact tracking system was hardly used; the app will continue to have a Bluetooth “close encounter” detector but unless a majority install the app, its mostly useless. “We’ve…
Smart phone Covid-19 contact tracing apps accomplishing little
In May, a report said Iceland had achieved the largest penetration of any virus-tracking app, with 38% of its 364,000 inhabitants installing it. But the Iceland app, which collected people’s…
Not everyone can wear a mask, so let’s publicly humiliate them!
In February or early March, if you wore a mask, you were publicly humiliated and the subject of antagonism on social media – masks were useless when worn by the…
coronavirus apps do not need 60+% adoption to be effective
A meme has been established that smart phone contact tracing apps need at least 60% adoption to provide any benefit. That is not the correct interpretation as their could be…
Adoption of contact tracing app in France off to a very slow start
France was one of the first Western countries to build an app to track exposure to the coronavirus, but sluggish takeup rates could limit its usefulness in preventing a second…
UK’s NHS Covid-19 contact-tracing app postponed until next winter
Their Isle of Wight trial taught them several things – and the UK has now postponed the roll out of a smart phone contact tracing app until probably the end…