Opinion: Practicing Factfulness based on data.
Remember, I am idiot who observes things and asks stupid questions. The low incidence of influenza is attributed to the lock downs, face masks and social distancing required for Covid-19.…
In other words, the coronavirus will become “endemic,” a pathogen that circulates at low levels and only rarely causes serious illness. Source: Coronavirus Will Resemble the Common Cold, Scientists Predict…
Source: Figure 1 – 1918 Influenza: the Mother of All Pandemics – Volume 12, Number 1—January 2006 – Emerging Infectious Diseases journal – CDC Back then, diagnosis was based on…
Disease model projections have proven close to worthless. Perhaps like a stopped clock, they might get close once in a while. Here is another set of models that blew up…
This part of the post was written on September 4th, but not published until December 30. On September 4th, the UW IHME disease modeling team projected 410,000 deaths in the…
Travel restrictions, lock downs and face masks forever! Because reasons! Models have found that strict border closures could have helped limit viral transmission in the pandemic’s early days. But once…
Just 10 days ago, the Oregon Health Authority said that the overwhelming majority of Oregonians have been complying with guidance and doing all the right things. But since cases are…
Was reading up on something else which led to this item on the 1968-1970 influenza pandemic. Very interesting. The 1968 flu pandemic caused illness of varying degrees of severity in…
Source: Covid 19 Risk Tool from Johns Hopkins University The online calculator uses data to estimate your mortality risk, based on data for people with similar health situations as you,…
The UW IHME random number generator projects up to 1 million new cases on January 10th. MIT has their own forecast: Total active coronavirus cases in the U.S. are projected…