The Failure of Imperial College Modeling
Disease models: The Failure of Imperial College Modeling Is Far Worse than We Knew – AIER True: The exaggerated forecasts of this modeling team are now impossible to downplay or…
MIT study says masks, distancing don’t work
Everything you know is wrong: The risk of being exposed to Covid-19 indoors is as great at 60 feet as it is at 6 feet — even when wearing a…
Nice explanation of the false positive problem and Bayes Theorem
Len Cabrera explains the math behind estimating the number of true positive and false positive COVID-18 test results Source: Estimating the number of false positive tests – Alachua Chronicle And…
Disease Models
Saw these shared on social media today. This is the model from last December projecting daily new cases under various scenarios. The column chart at bottom are the actual real…
Other than these minor points, it’s a great study :)
https://twitter.com/phl43/status/1383063525854224389
They were wearing face masks here
This is an Oregon beach, photographed earlier this week. As you can see, it is very crowded – hah hah. Social distancing is clearly tough to do – hah hah.…
Apparently we have been using the wrong kind of masks
In April 2020, we were told to use face coverings made from any random bit of cloth to stop droplets, thereby reducing the spread of Covid-19. Droplet transmission requires a…
Disease modeling – where the confidence interval is from Zero to infinity
Epidemiologists have gotten to work predicting the future if highly contagious COVID-19 variants spread through Quebec, and their findings are alarming – especially combined with news of climbing variant numbers.…
Britain mandates pub guests must have Covid tracking app installed on their phone
I guess this means it is now mandatory to have a smart phone in the UK? Also, will they sanitize phones before handing them over to pub staff for verification…
Surge in good news: Schools do not seem to spread Covid-19 much
https://twitter.com/JenniferNuzzo/status/1380542797439197189