Follow up: Nebraska Garth Books Concert in August 2021
This was forecast to be a superspreader event. Like all superspreader forecasts, this one was wrong. I marked a red line on the chart indicating when the concert occurred. There…
Follow up: We won’t have enough pediatric hospital beds for Covid patients
Projection from December 2021: Actual Result There were a few states that had high numbers of pediatric patients (many or most of which were, as later reported, incidental cases of…
Follow up: Unlikely to see variants that spread faster than Delta
October 2021: Graven said he’s also preparing for the possibility of another variant. “There will be a day where some variant will probably you know be something that kind of…
Follow up “The [2021] fire season is going to be worse than last year”
“This fire season is going to be worse than last year,” the vice president said. Source: Harris drops by her local fire station on 4th of July – Axios Actual…
Follow up: 1 million deaths in India by August 2021 – Coldstreams Business and Tech
As noted in my previous follow up on this failed projection, as of Nov 2021, there had been 459,000 total deaths in India. By May 1, 2022, there have been…
Green power in California not as green as it looked: State imports much electricity from other states
Note – that’s 2013-2017. The mix may have changed in 2018-2022. But it seems likely this is a real issue (see other chart in the linked report). And, Gov. Newsom…
Surely, mitigations and masks were super effective: “EU estimates up to 80% of population has had COVID”
Source: EU estimates up to 80% of population has had COVID
Automation in fast food delivery: Chipotle
Source: Chipotle staffing back at pre-pandemic levels, company is exploring automation, CEO says As noted here many times in the past, automation is coming to fast food. We’ve seen it…
The “dueling experts” problem
Every day during the pandemic there are dueling “experts”. If the public is confused about inconsistent, contradictory and incoherent messaging, it is the public’s fault, of course. You are the…
Why inflation is out of control?: “80% of All US Dollars in Existence Have Been Printed in Just the Last Two Years”
If you want to know the scope of the fiscal nightmare approaching, realize that since January 2020, the United States has printed nearly 80% of all US dollars in existence.…