Yet another superspreader forecast crashed and burned
Disease model forecasts make astrology look reliable: In the final weeks of this summer, with Covid-19 cases soaring and the rituals of autumn about to resume, many people assumed that…
Yet another superspreader event that wasn’t
It’s as if Crying Wolf at every opportunity has backfired and absolutely no one is going to pay attention to “expert” epiastrologists anymore: “While we have not linked any cases…
Another super spreader model fail
Disease models are essentially useless. Their primary value is to issue scary forecasts, that are wrong. Even when correct, they do not provide actionable value. “In August, we estimated there…
Another “superspreader” forecast falls flat
Re-opening of public schools was going to cause a mass increase in “positive cases”. Like nearly all super spreader predictions, this one failed too. In many countries, children have been…
Fantastic: Researcher Trevor Bedford receives MacArthur ‘Genius’ Grant
Bedford has just been named a MacArthur Fellow and was also awarded a $9 million, 7-year grant from the Howard Hughes Medical Institute for his work on the pandemic. Source:…
Follow up: “Surge expected after labor day”
Leading up to Labor Day weekend (Sep 4, 5 and 6), the “experts” warned us of a “Surge expected after Labor Day” as people would congregate and not wear cloth…
We tried 200 covid-19 vaccines so you don’t have to! | Coldstreams Business and Tech
I wrote this in August of 2020 as a joke – it was satire and parody of news headlines. Sadly, many of these headlines ended up becoming real!: We tried…
Follow up: Fiegl-Ding says UK is killing people
Fiegl-Ding’s claim did not age well. In mid-July, Eric Feigl-Ding, a nutritionist who fashioned himself as an epidemiologist, said the UK’s Covid plans would kill people in this superlative laden…
Fully vaccinated marathon runners mandated to wear masks, outdoors
Fully vaccinated marathon runners mandated to wear face masks – outdoors – for about one-third of a marathon. Because Trust Sciencetm Race Week Health Protocols – The San Francisco Marathon…
Duh: “The tiered restrictions enforced in November 2020 did not impact the epidemiology of the second wave of COVID-19 in Italy”
(Original text had no paragraph breaks – I’ve added them to improve readability. TL;DR Summary: Public health mitigation measures did not work. Decreasing metrics were occurring prior to the introduction…