Another moment in accurate disease model projections:
When Ontario lifted public health protective measures in March, the expectation was that we might see a small but manageable bump in COVID-19 cases.
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In Ontario, authorities had hoped the BA.2 wave would somehow pass by. However, instead of the expected small bump in cases, current predictions are at 100,000 cases per day, which is likely an underestimation due to lack of wider testing. COVID-19 hospitalizations have surpassed 1,000 in Ontario.
We can understand that modeling a disease is difficult. We do not, however, understand making policies based on models that have demonstrated an inability to predict the future.
