Follow up: “No Snow” California coming
A year ago: A year later: As of now, California has it’s 2nd deepest snow pack in their history records. It’s officially the snowiest season to date in Lake Tahoe…
Public health: Vaccinated and boosted, TV personality gets Covid for the third time
The TODAY co-anchor did not continue on the show on Feb. 28 after testing positive. Source: Savannah Guthrie Tests Positive for COVID-19 During Live TODAY Broadcast Do you remember when…
Experts: Why Experts are Almost Always Wrong
Source: Why Experts are Almost Always Wrong | Smart News| Smithsonian Magazine Expert prediction accuracy is often worse than if random guesses were made. The reason they are bad is…
Follow up: “Forecasters predicted a trace of snow, then Portland set an 80-year record”
Yet another triumphant success of models: Forecasters predicted a trace of snow, then Portland set an 80-year record. What happened? – oregonlive.com As my son mentioned to me, “all models…
Follow up: Authoritarianism is Necessary
When dueling celebrity epidemiologists met social media, a catastrophe occurred: a complete loss of trust in science itself.
Follow up: Disease model projection, March 17, 2020
In the first 3 months, Neil Ferguson’s disease model projected: Every item projected by Neil Ferguson’s team was wrong, immensely wrong. Neil Ferguson recommended the UK’s lockdown strategy, but then…
Follow up: 3 vax prevents infection and transmission & with masks, risk is near zero
Let’s preserve this for posterity. He’s an MD, MPH. Trust the Experts. As usual, the public health experts were wrong. About everything. And they wonder why no one trusts them…
Follow up: “…no question … Czech Republic’s remarkable progress … was the result of requiring an entire society to wear face masks.”
July 2020: There is no question that the Czech Republic’s remarkable progress on COVID-19 was the result of requiring an entire society to wear face masks. Source: How Czech Republic…
Follow up: If people don’t get the bivalent booster, Covid will skyrocket in early 2023
Look at this chart from the White House on October 11, 2023: Source: Biden administration extends COVID public health emergency – Los Angeles Times This chart, at right of the…
Public health hilarity: “Has California avoided another devastating winter COVID wave?”
The holiday superspreader meme was wrong (as all expert projections have been). This was due to “the power of the tools” available to California public health – like wearing masks…