All posts by EdwardM

Everything in public health was politicized. Everything. All sides.

Why scientists refused to acknowledge the WIV lab-leak hypothesis in 2020:

“At the time, it was scarier to be associated with Trump and to become a tool for racists, so people didn’t want to publicly call for an investigation into lab origins,” she said.

Now, more scientists are comfortable confronting the gamut of plausible theories — particularly given China’s opacity about the topic — although many still caution that entertaining the idea of a lab leak requires clear scientific proof, which hasn’t materialized.

Source: Wuhan lab leak theory: Behind the science and origin of Covid

In other words, politics took priority over science seeking the truth. Ouch.

(I have no idea where the virus came from. I am a brain injured idiot with no relevant experience that makes observations and asks stupid questions. But for about a year, experts were prohibited from making observations and asking basic questions due to their own politics.)

In another example, on June 2nd, 2020 we were told by experts that protesting was now more important than fighting a virus.

One does not need to look far to see that everything in public health was politicized, and thus, lost its own credibility. Over the next 12 months, they screamed “variants” day in and day out, and projected new surges upon surges that never happened.  Sadly, they never read Never Cry Wolf as the townspeople no longer believe anything public health says.

Common Cold Can Protect Against Infection by COVID-19 Virus

Exposure to the rhinovirus, the most frequent cause of the common cold, can protect against infection by the virus which causes COVID-19, Yale researchers have found. In a new study, the researchers found that the common respiratory virus jump-starts the activity of interferon-stimulated genes, early-response molecules in the immune system which can halt replication of the SARS-CoV-2 virus within airway tissues infected with the cold.

Source: Common Cold Can Protect Against Infection by COVID-19 Virus

There were suspicions of this last year. At that time, it might have been useful to infect everyone with a common cold rhinovirus. Would that have been amazing?

Follow up: “We anticipate in one to two weeks” patient numbers will jump back up

In fact, the Bend hospital saw a drop of 10 patients with COVID-19, from 42 on Friday to 32 on Monday, six of them in the ICU and three on ventilators.

But Robinson says that number may not stay low for long.

“Even though our numbers have dropped today, we anticipate in one to two weeks, we’ll see them jump back up,” she said.

Source: Recent decline in COVID-19 patients good news for short-staffed St. Charles – KTVZ

One to two weeks later, what happened to patient numbers? Did they go up, stay the same or did they go down?

They went down.

Have any forecasts of “it’s going to get worse” proven correct? Rarely.

Constant fear mongering and scary projections leads to the Never Cry Wolf syndrome – and fewer and fewer people believe anything regarding public health pronouncements. We just roll our eyes and tune them out – again.

“More evidence suggests COVID-19 was in U.S. by Christmas 2019”

NEW YORK (AP) — A new analysis of blood samples from 24,000 Americans taken early last year is the latest and largest study to suggest that the new coronavirus popped up in the U.S. in December 2019 — weeks before cases were first recognized by health officials.

Source: More evidence suggests COVID-19 was in US by Christmas 2019 | NewsNation Now

An earlier study found antibodies present in U.S. blood samples by mid-December 2019.

This implies Covid-19 was circulating in the U.S. for about 3 1/2 months before we began to “lock down”. By comparison, it appears New Zealand locked down within about 2 weeks of their first detected case. Which may explain why there have been such different outcomes between the two countries. Lock downs need to occur immediately to have a long term effect, otherwise all they do is, at best, delay the process.

Media reaches new low

The data does not back this up.

The new mantra is beyond ZeroCovid – we now expect ZeroFlu and ZeroCommonColds. Anything less is unacceptable.

From the comments, everyone in the Boston news market plans to wear face masks for ever.

If face masks ended the flu, why did the fail to end Covid-19? Serious question.

Paper: Shelter in place Orders “had no detectable health benefits”

We study the health, behavioral, and economic effects of one of the most politically controversial policies in recent memory, shelter-in-place orders during the COVID-19 pandemic. Previous studies have claimed that shelter-in-place orders saved thousands of lives, but we reassess these analyses and show that they are not reliable. We find that shelter-in-place orders had no detectable health benefits, only modest effects on behavior, and small but adverse effects on the economy. To be clear, our study should not be interpreted as evidence that social distancing behaviors are not effective. Many people had already changed their behaviors before the introduction of shelter-in-place orders, and shelter-in-place orders appear to have been ineffective precisely because they did not meaningfully alter social distancing behavior.

Source: Evaluating the effects of shelter-in-place policies during the COVID-19 pandemic | PNAS

Their study says their explanation for “why” these Orders had no effect is conjecture – they do not know.

Related: A stunning 38.9% of small businesses in the U.S. are no longer open (select Businesses : Small Businesses Open) due to the actions of public health.  Reminder, in spite of all those actions, 600,000 people died.

In my town’s downtown, I estimate about 30% of local businesses were gone. Future historians will not look kindly on the year 2020 and the government/public health response.