Large international study finds lockdowns not effective
Locking people up like prison inmates was no better than less restrictive measures: The peer reviewed study, which was conducted by a group of Stanford researchers and published in the…
If “restrictions” stopped influenza, why did they fail to stop Covid-19?
Remember, I am idiot who observes things and asks stupid questions. The low incidence of influenza is attributed to the lock downs, face masks and social distancing required for Covid-19.…
Good news: “Coronavirus Will Resemble the Common Cold, Scientists Predict” and likely be endemic within 6-12 months
In other words, the coronavirus will become “endemic,” a pathogen that circulates at low levels and only rarely causes serious illness. Source: Coronavirus Will Resemble the Common Cold, Scientists Predict…
Why would one large metro not see a holiday “surge” while the next one over did?
State health chief said the state appeared not be seeing as big a post-Christmas surge as it had expected. Source: Sacramento region’s COVID-19 stay-at-home order being lifted | The Sacramento…
1918-1919 Spanish Flu Epicurve
Source: Figure 1 – 1918 Influenza: the Mother of All Pandemics – Volume 12, Number 1—January 2006 – Emerging Infectious Diseases journal – CDC Back then, diagnosis was based on…
Not good for summer travel hopes: Harvard Cancels Summer 2021 Study Abroad Programming
“Harvard Summer School suspended all study-abroad programming for the summer of 2021, citing concerns over the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic.” Source: Harvard Cancels Summer 2021 Study Abroad Programming | News |…
Face masks work they said: Ontario Canada considering “more extreme measures” on top of existing lock downs
January 8, 2021: TORONTO (Reuters) – Ontario is considering “more extreme measures” on top of the widespread lockdowns in place, the premier said on Friday, Source: Canada’s Ontario says ‘more…
Fun with models
Disease model projections have proven close to worthless. Perhaps like a stopped clock, they might get close once in a while. Here is another set of models that blew up…
TSA Passenger counts by week
Chart shows the total number of passenger for each week, during the pandemic. This is a better way of looking at the data than day by day due to large…
Revisting UW IHME’s Covid-19 projections
This part of the post was written on September 4th, but not published until December 30. On September 4th, the UW IHME disease modeling team projected 410,000 deaths in the…