Surge in good news: You no longer need wipe down your groceries and packages
Joint statement of the US FDA and USDA: there is no credible evidence of food or food packaging associated with or as a likely source of viral transmission of severe…
Confusing Public health messaging on getting vaccinated
If you do not get vaccinated, then life restrictions will continue indefinitely. Social isolation, face masks and lock downs forever. If you do get vaccinated, then life restrictions will continue…
The end of beards: “Tight fit more important than a second mask to prevent COVID-19 spread”
More flip flopping on masks – most people don’t know it but OSHA rules for N95 masks mandate no beards. And now this: Tight fit more important than a second…
Putting an end to the “holiday surge” meme – there was none
Summary There were no holiday surges The acceleration in new cases flipped in mid November before the holidays On February 18, 2021, the UW’s Trevor Bedford reported Rt began declining…
Superbowl appears not to have been a “superspreader” event
Florida reported far fewer coronavirus cases in the week ending Sunday , adding 49,390 new cases. That’s down 12.7% from the previous week’s toll of 56,606 new cases of the…
UW IHME Disease astrologers issue “grim new forecast”
After many failed model projections, does anyone take the UW’s IHME’s astrologist’s forecasts seriously? If you do take them seriously, we’ve got 200,000 unused ventilators you can have. A grim…
Did not age well: “New York as model for fighting coronavirus”
Dr. Fauci, July 18, 2020: National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases Director Anthony Fauci on Friday praised New York for its handling of the coronavirus pandemic, saying the state…
Oregon’s disease models wrong for 11 out of 13 projections
Oregon only does short term disease modeling (about 4 weeks), via the Institute for Disease Modeling in Bellevue, WA. Their model projections have been wrong – way wrong – 11…
More time shifted data delays in epiastrology data
Note: Due to a delay in laboratory reporting, OHA received a large quantity of approximately 3,000 negative electronic laboratory results (ELRs) on Monday. The tests are from June 1, 2020…
And just like that: Timing of data reporting is a problem
As I discovered, and informed my state’s public health office about, the time shifting of death reports had incorrectly moved peaked deaths from Dec 9th into January. The state agreed…