Follow up: U.S. Covid Deaths Expected to Rise Soon With New Wave Emerging
March 30, 2021: (Bloomberg) — Covid-19 deaths in the U.S. are expected to bottom out in the next two weeks and then may inch higher as the nation races to…
Follow up: CDC chief warns U.S. headed for ‘impending doom’ as Covid cases rise again: ‘Right now I’m scared’
March 29, 2029: The U.S. is facing “impending doom” as daily Covid-19 cases begin to rebound once again, threatening to send more people to the hospital even as vaccinations accelerate…
Follow up: Epidemiologist predicts surge of dangerous COVID variant in US
April 1, 2021: It’s just a matter of time before the highly contagious UK COVID-19 variant wreaking havoc around the world surges in the US, a leading epidemiologist warned Thursday.…
Follow up: Infectious Disease Expert Explains Why Next COVID-19 Wave In U.S. Is Inevitable
It’s likely too late to stop this upcoming surge, warned Michael Osterholm. Source: Infectious Disease Expert Explains Why Next COVID-19 Wave In U.S. Is Inevitable | HuffPost Celebrity epidemiologist Osterholm…
Follow up: Was the sun n Fun airshow in Florida a superspreader event?
One of the nation’s largest air shows and aviation conventions, Sun n Fun, was held April 5-10 in Lakeland Florida. I understand the event had a record breaking attendance, no…
Follow up in June: “CDC projects a surge in U.S. Covid cases through May due to B.1.1.7 variant before a ‘sharp decline'”
More models: Covid-19 cases will likely surge again in the U.S. as the highly contagious B.1.1.7 variant takes hold across the country, peaking in May before sharply declining by July,…
Did Covid-19 spread mostly via homes and close contacts?
In the spring of 2020, I was looking at contact tracing data for Utah and they had found that about 2 out of 3 cases traced back to a home…
So other than that, lockdowns were an overwhelming success, right?
In 1915, chemistry lost its innocence when mustard gas poisoned British troops in Ypres, Belgium. Physics lost its innocence in 1945 amongst the radioactive rubble of Hiroshima, Japan. Public health…
More examples of bad predictions
July 21, 2020 A study produced by a team at Oxford University indicated that some parts of the United Kingdom may already have reached herd immunity from coronavirus. A significant…
Trevor Noah points out that public health messaging is a disaster
What I’ve been saying since April 2020! Trevor says about the CDC – “The shit you are saying is incoherent” Public health messaging is inconsistent, contradictory and incoherent. Been saying…