Follow up: Joggers and cyclists should wear masks
In January 2021, a professor of primary care health sciences at the University of Oxford said that joggers and cyclists should be wearing masks when exercising outdoors. Here is a…
Follow up: Hunga-Tonga Won’t Effect Weather or Climate
January 2022: Explosive Hunga-Tonga volcano will not affect climate Scientists have long known that large volcanic eruptions can have an immediate and years-long impact on the global climate, and an…
Follow up: Lifting airline mask mandates “horrifies health experts”
April 27, 2022: Lifting of Covid mask mandate on US transportation horrifies health experts | Airline industry | The Guardian Some travelers celebrate, but health experts worry after a judge…
Follow up: Utah’s case numbers to quadruple, says model
August 5, 2021 Projection -> Cases to quadruple by October in Utah Vaccination and masks are key to keeping children safe from COVID-19 as they return to school, Utah state…
Follow up: Nebraska Garth Books Concert in August 2021
This was forecast to be a superspreader event. Like all superspreader forecasts, this one was wrong. I marked a red line on the chart indicating when the concert occurred. There…
Follow up: We won’t have enough pediatric hospital beds for Covid patients
Projection from December 2021: Actual Result There were a few states that had high numbers of pediatric patients (many or most of which were, as later reported, incidental cases of…
Follow up: Unlikely to see variants that spread faster than Delta
October 2021: Graven said he’s also preparing for the possibility of another variant. “There will be a day where some variant will probably you know be something that kind of…
Follow up “The [2021] fire season is going to be worse than last year”
“This fire season is going to be worse than last year,” the vice president said. Source: Harris drops by her local fire station on 4th of July – Axios Actual…
Follow up: 1 million deaths in India by August 2021 – Coldstreams Business and Tech
As noted in my previous follow up on this failed projection, as of Nov 2021, there had been 459,000 total deaths in India. By May 1, 2022, there have been…
Follow up: Disease modeling for Ontario, Canada
Another moment in accurate disease model projections: When Ontario lifted public health protective measures in March, the expectation was that we might see a small but manageable bump in COVID-19…