Disease models
Disease models remain worthless, on par with astrology with the honesty of alchemy. Daily Cases Forecast Color bands represent 95% confidence interval for each model used. Many of the models…
Follow up: “We anticipate in one to two weeks” patient numbers will jump back up
In fact, the Bend hospital saw a drop of 10 patients with COVID-19, from 42 on Friday to 32 on Monday, six of them in the ICU and three on…
Surge in good news: Novavax 90% effective
Source: Novavax: Large study finds COVID-19 shot about 90% effective | KATU
Paper: Shelter in place Orders “had no detectable health benefits”
We study the health, behavioral, and economic effects of one of the most politically controversial policies in recent memory, shelter-in-place orders during the COVID-19 pandemic. Previous studies have claimed that…
The hilarious (and nonsensical) Covid-19 rules that were applied to many of us
This is a hoot. In a Twitter thread, people post the dumbest Covid-19 things they were required to do. A teacher says she was required to “quarantine” homework turned in…
June 10, 2020: If we wear masks, we will have no subsequent large waves
This was the experts prediction in June 2020. This did not age well. If lock-down periods are combined with 100% adoption of facemask use by the public, the initial disease…
Math education is critical to our future
Read the whole thread. There are school districts that are proposing to remove advanced math courses because students who take them benefit and students who do not take them, do…
Fast-food industry accelerates use of automation as wages go higher
I have written about this trend on many occasions for several years: Source: Former McDonald’s CEO warns $15 minimum wage directly contributing to fast-food industry’s automation push | Fox Business…
What Is the Broken Window Fallacy?
The Broken Window FallacyIn Bastiat’s tale, a boy breaks a window. The townspeople looking on decide that the boy has actually done the community a service because his father will…
Cases continue dropping after CDC reduced mask requirements
Some things we now know N95s work, certified surgical masks work somewhat less, in medical settings, and home made cloth masks of unknown materials, design and construction were likely ineffective.…