Disease Models
Saw these shared on social media today. This is the model from last December projecting daily new cases under various scenarios. The column chart at bottom are the actual real…
Other than these minor points, it’s a great study :)
https://twitter.com/phl43/status/1383063525854224389
They were wearing face masks here
This is an Oregon beach, photographed earlier this week. As you can see, it is very crowded – hah hah. Social distancing is clearly tough to do – hah hah.…
Apparently we have been using the wrong kind of masks
In April 2020, we were told to use face coverings made from any random bit of cloth to stop droplets, thereby reducing the spread of Covid-19. Droplet transmission requires a…
Disease modeling – where the confidence interval is from Zero to infinity
Epidemiologists have gotten to work predicting the future if highly contagious COVID-19 variants spread through Quebec, and their findings are alarming – especially combined with news of climbing variant numbers.…
Britain mandates pub guests must have Covid tracking app installed on their phone
I guess this means it is now mandatory to have a smart phone in the UK? Also, will they sanitize phones before handing them over to pub staff for verification…
Surge in good news: Schools do not seem to spread Covid-19 much
https://twitter.com/JenniferNuzzo/status/1380542797439197189
Amazing: The poor quality of epidemiological data
Some one just got caught up with old death reports and dumped them out all in one day. This is has gone on for months, in many states, as they…
The end of smart phone based contact tracing apps
As explained in detail several times last year, smart phone-based, Bluetooth-based contact tracing apps were never likely to be useful. Effectively with this announcement today, Oregon has abandoned it’s smart…
Considerable decline in trust of the CDC, large survey shows
Rather than fix the root cause problems, the CDC will enlist public relations consultants and fix this with a propaganda campaign – and the CDC will continue business as usual:…