It is 14 weeks, as of today.

Cases have fallen off a cliff since Osterholm not only made his projection, but spread it widely via television and mass media outlets.

The magenta arrow is where he made his forecast of a tsunami of new cases worse than anything we’d seen. Osterholm is a fool. But worse, the media will continue to solicit scary statements from him, and will never bother to look back at the failed forecasts from the experts.