Follow up: Lake Mead is going to largely die within 2 years
March 24, 2023 Lake Mead’s water would continue to decline Would fall to Tier 2B in 2024 Would fall to Tier 3 shortage in 2025, necessitating mandatory water cuts to…
Science oops: Much bad science (and worse media coverage of it)
The problem isn't bad science but what happens next: disastrous media coverage of bad science studies, and a lack of skeptical inquiry by reporters.
Climate Future Followup: Global Warming will cause more baseball homeruns
Abstract Home runs in baseball—fair balls hit out of the field of play—have risen since 1980, driving strategic shifts in gameplay. Myriad factors likely account for these trends, with some…
Public health oops: “Masks in hospitals made ‘no difference’ to Covid infection rates”
Researchers from St George’s Hospital in London analysed routinely collected infection control data over a 40-week period between December 4, 2021 and September 10, 2022. …. Researchers found removing the…
Follow up: California drought likely to continue into 2023
100% wrong: As California’s 2022 water year ends this week, the parched state is bracing for another dry year — its fourth in a row. So far, in California’s recorded…
Follow up: “XBB.1.5 to be “deadliest wave in pandemic history”
Another “expert” prediction crashed and burned to the ground. Jacob B. Aguilar, PhD on Twitter: “I wish all a prosperous 2023. However, in realty the XBB.1.5 SUPER variant is exploding…
Follow up: ChatGPT will not transform economy
A prediction, too early to follow up but given his track record, we can assume this forecast will not be true. ChatGPT Won’t Transform the Economy in the Next Decade:…
Follow up: Oregon expects to see an upsurge in Covid and flu in 2022-2023 season
Studies from the Oregon Health and Science University suggest that COVID-19 cases will rise this fall, and we can expect to see a flu season comparable to pre-pandemic years. Source:…
Follow up: Jet passenger killed by turbulence?
March 3, 2023 After the March 3d, 2023 incident, there was much publicity about a former government official killed “by turbulence” while her family flew on a private jet flight.…
Follow up: NY Times-“The evidence that high inflation is coming is weak”.
It takes a special kind of expert to be wrong more often than a coin flip. Here, the NY Times tells us in Feb 2021 that inflation will remain low…