Follow up: Oregon’s wild fires very subdued in 2023
By the numbers, the 2023 wildfire season in Oregon was a quiet one — with the smallest number of acres burned since 2019 and well below average for the past…
Follow up: Economic forecast models mostly useless
The New York Times also chimed in on the poor forecasting record of economists Monday in a separate story, “New Normal or No Normal? How Economists Got It Wrong for…
Models followup: Hurricane Otis forecast completely wrong
The 24 hour forecast for Hurricane Otis, lower lines, versus what actually happened – dashed line shooting almost straight up: Predicting the future often ends in failure. In this case,…
Public health followup: Covid cases continue to decline
The apocalyptic late summer/early fall Covid-19 triple-demic surge has not happened.
Follow up: Students isolating with Covid should be last to leave buildings on fire
In Oct 2020, the University of York told students self isolating in case they had Covid that they should delay exiting a building on fire...
Follow up: Lahaina death toll
In the aftermath of a disaster, it is common for there to be many missing people who have not notified anyone of their location.
Climate, Follow up: “Hurricane Idalia wasn’t as bad as feared.”
This would be good news? Hurricane Idalia wasn’t as bad as feared (Washington Post) This was the first time in history that a hurricane has struck Florida, proving the “impact…
Follow up: Everything will change on August 23d
CNBC and other sites have, for months, been showing an ad with a photo of Marc Chaikin saying everything changes on August 23d. If you click through you go to…
Economy Follow Up: It’s all going to crash!
Well, probably. Some day. But the last two years have not been good for the naysayer expert predictions of imminent doom: Ask anybody on Wall Street last December what was…
Follow up: Yellowstone’s “first fire of 2023”
Amid climate change sweeps week, the media got excited about Yellowstone's first fire of the season. It was minor and normal for this date.