Follow up: “Oregon predicts staggering omicron infections, hospitalizations”
Follow up on Oregon's OHSU disease models for Omicron. Like nearly all models, this was wrong, off in space, as usual.
Follow up: “Trucker protest could become a superspreader event”
Like nearly all forecasts that predicted an event would be a "superspreader" for Covid, this one in Canada was wrong, like they all are.
Follow up on Czechia: “no question” their success was due to face masks
I save bookmarks of past forecasts for future follow up. Steven Kashkett of USA Today claimed in July of 2020 that Czechia proved face masks worked to stop Covid-19. He…
Follow up from February 2021: “And there you go: Pandemic should end by mid-year”
This forecast did not age well: And there you go: Pandemic should end by mid-year | Coldstreams Business and Tech
Follow up: “The epidemiologists Strike Back: Revenge of the Models Episode III”
In February, as cases were falling rapidly, the disease modelers projected a large rise in daily new cases starting as soon as May (but with a multi-month window), and caused…
Follow up: “We’ll Have Herd Immunity by April” – 2021
This did not age well: We’ll Have Herd Immunity by April – WSJ | Coldstreams Business and Tech
Follow up: 2021 Fire Season
Some forecasts in early summer suggested the U.S. would experience its worse fire season on record. This is a follow up with an early look back at what actually happened;…
Follow up: Another superspreader forecast collapses
“I don’t think it’s smart,” Fauci said during a CNN interview after he was shown pictures of college football stadiums with maskless fans. “Outdoors is always better than indoors, but…
Follow up in 2022: The Christmas and Thanksgiving “superspreader” forecasts
I have seen forecasts that Halloween will be a superspreader so of course, Thanksgiving and Christmas are back on the list (neither were superspreaders in 2020 per the data): COVID-19…
Follow up: “Surge expected after labor day”
Leading up to Labor Day weekend (Sep 4, 5 and 6), the “experts” warned us of a “Surge expected after Labor Day” as people would congregate and not wear cloth…