Oregon’s disease models wrong for 11 out of 13 projections
Oregon only does short term disease modeling (about 4 weeks), via the Institute for Disease Modeling in Bellevue, WA. Their model projections have been wrong – way wrong – 11…
And just like that: Timing of data reporting is a problem
As I discovered, and informed my state’s public health office about, the time shifting of death reports had incorrectly moved peaked deaths from Dec 9th into January. The state agreed…
Scientists warn over misuse of models
I’m so old, I remember Neil Ferguson’s projection of 2.2 million deaths in the U.S. by last spring, and Christopher Murray’s projection that NY would run out of ventilators (so…
Masks made no difference: “Transmission of COVID-19 in 282 clusters in Catalonia, Spain: a cohort study – The Lancet Infectious Diseases”
Epidemiologists remain stuck: Second, we did not find any evidence of decreased risk of transmission in individuals who reported mask use. Although this finding collides with the evidence reported elsewhere,8…
Remember the Sturgis, South Dakota “Superspreader event”?
The Sturgis South Dakota motorcycle rally was held August 6-15, 2020. We were assured that this would be a major super spreader event. This was emphasized by a study predicting…
Cool! Print your own vaccination record card!
Thanks to government public health offices, you can download a blank PDF copy of the vaccination record and fill it out for yourself 🙂 Face plant. You’ve got to be…
The epidemiologists Strike Back: Revenge of the Models Episode III
Fearful of the damage that may occur from the continued surge in good news, epidemiologists are striking back. WE HAVE MODELS. Late last week, the Institute for Health Metrics and…
Would be cheaper to buy each person a car: “WES commuter rail is costing TriMet $108 per passenger”
In December 2020, the operation costs per rider for WES was $108, compared to $9.32 for MAX light rail and $9.82 for bus service. Source: WES commuter rail is costing…
White Female privilege: Twice as many women as men have been vaccinated
Of the 13 million Americans who got at least one dose between Dec. 14 and Jan. 14, 63% were women Source: COVID-19 live updates: Moderna president hopeful for herd immunity…
Why is this allowed?
U.K. variant Brazil variant South Africa variant California variant China or Wuhan virus Every variant has been named and identified by the media based on its first detection location. Except…