As I have written about before – not one of the predicted super spreaders caused an “super” outbreak. Not one. You can add the Sturgis Motorcycle rally too, several sports events and more.

This is why disease models are worthless, as are the celebrity public health experts that promoted this fear porn:

Oh, and I missed this report about the non-existent spreader events.

Similarly, the “holiday surge” never happened either. Many states peaked months earlier. California peaked the day before Christmas. In my state, R-0 was starting to fall in mid-November and deaths peaked the week of Dec 6th. The “holiday surge” meme was a lie, often created by lazy epidemiologists who kinda sorta spotted maybe a little bit, perhaps, of a correlation, at times, as long as they ignored all the stuff that didn’t correlate, basically.

By EdwardM