UW IHME Disease astrologers issue “grim new forecast”
After many failed model projections, does anyone take the UW’s IHME’s astrologist’s forecasts seriously? If you do take them seriously, we’ve got 200,000 unused ventilators you can have. A grim…
1 in 12 adults in the U.S. is a millionaire
And you know that many will spin this as a negative: Modern millionaires: How a percentage of Americans made their millions More than 8% of adults in the U.S. have…
Did not age well: “New York as model for fighting coronavirus”
Dr. Fauci, July 18, 2020: National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases Director Anthony Fauci on Friday praised New York for its handling of the coronavirus pandemic, saying the state…
This made me laugh hysterically
Epidemiological disease models have proven worse than astrology. They are constructed with the integrity of alchemy. ICL has been ground zero for generating garbage models, producing output off in space,…
Cancel culture
I recently learned about people who lost jobs because they Liked a social media post – the post was okay but the person posting it was not. This, in turn,…
Oregon’s disease models wrong for 11 out of 13 projections
Oregon only does short term disease modeling (about 4 weeks), via the Institute for Disease Modeling in Bellevue, WA. Their model projections have been wrong – way wrong – 11…
More time shifted data delays in epiastrology data
Note: Due to a delay in laboratory reporting, OHA received a large quantity of approximately 3,000 negative electronic laboratory results (ELRs) on Monday. The tests are from June 1, 2020…
And just like that: Timing of data reporting is a problem
As I discovered, and informed my state’s public health office about, the time shifting of death reports had incorrectly moved peaked deaths from Dec 9th into January. The state agreed…
Scientists warn over misuse of models
I’m so old, I remember Neil Ferguson’s projection of 2.2 million deaths in the U.S. by last spring, and Christopher Murray’s projection that NY would run out of ventilators (so…