Interesting – “holiday surge” meme is vanishing
More cracks forming in the epidemiological firewall of terror. Today, a major newspaper runs this lengthy article using the “surge” word five times – but never once makes the claim…
The end of beards: “Tight fit more important than a second mask to prevent COVID-19 spread”
More flip flopping on masks – most people don’t know it but OSHA rules for N95 masks mandate no beards. And now this: Tight fit more important than a second…
Cross country HS runners must wear masks on long runs
This in a rural county – the “surge upon surge” in stupidity is growing exponentially: C.O. cross-country HS athletes must wear masks, among other changes – KTVZ
UW IHME Disease astrologers issue “grim new forecast”
After many failed model projections, does anyone take the UW’s IHME’s astrologist’s forecasts seriously? If you do take them seriously, we’ve got 200,000 unused ventilators you can have. A grim…
Did not age well: “New York as model for fighting coronavirus”
Dr. Fauci, July 18, 2020: National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases Director Anthony Fauci on Friday praised New York for its handling of the coronavirus pandemic, saying the state…
This made me laugh hysterically
Epidemiological disease models have proven worse than astrology. They are constructed with the integrity of alchemy. ICL has been ground zero for generating garbage models, producing output off in space,…
Oregon’s disease models wrong for 11 out of 13 projections
Oregon only does short term disease modeling (about 4 weeks), via the Institute for Disease Modeling in Bellevue, WA. Their model projections have been wrong – way wrong – 11…
And just like that: Timing of data reporting is a problem
As I discovered, and informed my state’s public health office about, the time shifting of death reports had incorrectly moved peaked deaths from Dec 9th into January. The state agreed…
Scientists warn over misuse of models
I’m so old, I remember Neil Ferguson’s projection of 2.2 million deaths in the U.S. by last spring, and Christopher Murray’s projection that NY would run out of ventilators (so…
Masks made no difference: “Transmission of COVID-19 in 282 clusters in Catalonia, Spain: a cohort study – The Lancet Infectious Diseases”
Epidemiologists remain stuck: Second, we did not find any evidence of decreased risk of transmission in individuals who reported mask use. Although this finding collides with the evidence reported elsewhere,8…