50+ years ago, the Population Bomb was published, predicting a dire future of calamity, starvation and war due to population growth. This was followed shortly after by a report from The Club of Rome, making similar assertions. These items had profound influence on the thinking of multiple generations, even though we now know they were wrong when they were published (the US fertility rate, for example, fell below 2.1 by 1972). None of their predictions came true.
This year, The Club of Rome has issued a new report, now predicting a shrinking population.
For 50 years, the intelligentsia have laboured under the presumption that global overpopulation was the ultimate cause of environmental pressure, which would eventually result in great calamities, up to and including the collapse of civilisations.
In late March 2023, the very same Club of Rome that fueled much of the alarm about growing population and resource scarcity released a new study it commissioned from the environmental lobby group Earth4All.
That study produced two scenarios, which it called ‘Giant Leap’ and ‘Too Little Too Late’. It recognises that the rate at which women have children is strongly influenced by economic development, education and better healthcare.
Even in its worst-case scenario, which is essentially a ‘business as usual’ case, population peaks at 8.6 billion in 2050 before declining to 7 billion in 2100.
Source: “Population bomb” theory debunked as global growth projected to decline by end of century
It’s as if the world needed a global calamity that would require massive government interventions … until the experts eventually noticed they were wrong about population, and well, most everything. With that threat now over with, we are on to the next scary theory requiring global governance by technocratic elite …
