“Models” – this is a model whose input includes the output from other unproven models:
Nobody can predict the future, but a San Francisco-based startup called Kettle seems able to predict where wildfires could start in California.
Source: Predicting California wildfire risks: Reinsurance startup Kettle
The capability of models for decision making regarding chaotic future events has been massively oversold.
The CDC recently stopped publishing “case” disease models saying they had “low reliability” – as this blog has pointed out since the spring of 2020. Disease models were useless.
