OHSU Health roles (Interesting – that now goes to a dead link – let’s hide the error.) A later revision put it at about a peak of 320. Then they revised again. Even with 1-3 week forecasts, the forecasts are usually wrong, by a lot.

Cases peaked at about 464 in mid-July.

Another wonderful success of disease models – not. Disease models are utterly worthless.

And per OHA, a slight majority of all hospitalized Covid-19 patients are incidental – they were admitted to the hospital for other reasons, but routine Covid testing of all patients results in detection of (usually) asymptomatic or mild cases that had gone unnoticed. Thus, about half of that peak number are likely actual Covid-19 patients in the hospital because of Covid-19.

Coldstreams