“Experts” have been predicting surge upon surge, 4th waves, etc, due to variants. Except in South Africa reality is not playing out according to the script:

Since mid-January, confirmed Covid-19 infections in South Africa have fallen from a record of nearly 22,000 a day to around 1,000, without a large-scale vaccination campaign or stringent lockdown. Fewer than 5% of Covid-19 tests are finding traces of the virus, a sign that health agencies are missing fewer cases. The government has lifted most of its remaining virus restrictions for the country of 60 million people.

The cause of this steep decline in cases remains somewhat of a mystery

Source: South Africa’s Drop in Covid-19 Cases Adds to Questions About Waves of Infections РWSJ

By EdwardM