Real-time “crowd size estimates” tend to overestimate – by a lot
Be skeptical of crowd size estimates, especially those with a political context.
Models: Another model failure
In 2023, experts said The Great Salt Lake would dry up within 5 years. How did that turn out?
Media: Earth could be thrown out of orbit!!!!
GB News is apparently another parody news service! Who knew?
Follow up: 2 week old hurricane forecast
Less than 2 weeks ago, there was a model forecast for a major hurricane to strike Florida yesterday... not too accurate.
Crime/Corruption
Dueling Experts
Models
Nation of Idiots
Policy/Government
Public Health/Nutrition
Stupidity
Experts: The out of touch expert class
After the Covid era and a few other things I agree 100% with this.
Models: 2024 Predictions gone wrong
Model projections are often worthless and in some fields, completely worthless. Yet we blindly follow them.
Models: Another model failure
We rely too heavily on models to predict the future. As is said, all models are wrong but some are useful. Perhaps.