Opinion: Factfulness, Skepticism & Realism, Sometimes satire and parody.
Or something – I’ll file this under the Follow Up category: From the recession that didn’t happen, to the relationship between unemployment and inflation, to the reason that inflation took…
From 2021 onward, experts have predict we will soon be in a recession in 2021, 2022 and 2023. Still not here. So much for predictions.
Red line is actual – gray lines are model forecasts for Covid – the SAGE models were garbage. SAGE (spectator.co.uk)
Snap shot taken from covid19.who.int on Nov 2 2023:
By the numbers, the 2023 wildfire season in Oregon was a quiet one — with the smallest number of acres burned since 2019 and well below average for the past…
The New York Times also chimed in on the poor forecasting record of economists Monday in a separate story, “New Normal or No Normal? How Economists Got It Wrong for…
The 24 hour forecast for Hurricane Otis, lower lines, versus what actually happened – dashed line shooting almost straight up: Predicting the future often ends in failure. In this case,…
The apocalyptic late summer/early fall Covid-19 triple-demic surge has not happened.
In Oct 2020, the University of York told students self isolating in case they had Covid that they should delay exiting a building on fire...
In the aftermath of a disaster, it is common for there to be many missing people who have not notified anyone of their location.