Economy: Predictions by Economist David Rosenberg-usually wrong
Tabloid Business Insider features economic predictions by David Rosenberg, even though he's consistently wrong.
Follow up: Costs of Long Covid=$3.7 Trillion
Harvard economist assumed 12-17% of the population would have "Long Covid" lasting 5 years or more. Hmmm.
Follow up, Climate: What caused the Maui wildfires
After the Maui fire in summer of 2023, the media quickly blamed climate change and a hurricane. Neither were true.
Follow up: Wildfires and Hurricanes 2023
Total acreage burned less than 1/2 the ten year annual average.
Climate: UK – “Polar vortex ‘bomb’ set to unleash 15 days of snow”
I'm so old, I remember when the British press said "Snowfalls are now just a thing of the past".
Economy: “Experts” at a loss to explain post pandemic economy
Or something – I’ll file this under the Follow Up category: From the recession that didn’t happen, to the relationship between unemployment and inflation, to the reason that inflation took…
Follow up: Recession forecasts back to 2021
From 2021 onward, experts have predict we will soon be in a recession in 2021, 2022 and 2023. Still not here. So much for predictions.
Follow up: Disease models were, uh, terrible
Red line is actual – gray lines are model forecasts for Covid – the SAGE models were garbage. SAGE (spectator.co.uk)
Follow up: Where is Covid today?
Snap shot taken from covid19.who.int on Nov 2 2023:
Follow up: Oregon’s wild fires very subdued in 2023
By the numbers, the 2023 wildfire season in Oregon was a quiet one — with the smallest number of acres burned since 2019 and well below average for the past…