Climate: UK – “Polar vortex ‘bomb’ set to unleash 15 days of snow”
I'm so old, I remember when the British press said "Snowfalls are now just a thing of the past".
Economy: “Experts” at a loss to explain post pandemic economy
Or something – I’ll file this under the Follow Up category: From the recession that didn’t happen, to the relationship between unemployment and inflation, to the reason that inflation took…
Follow up: Recession forecasts back to 2021
From 2021 onward, experts have predict we will soon be in a recession in 2021, 2022 and 2023. Still not here. So much for predictions.
Follow up: Disease models were, uh, terrible
Red line is actual – gray lines are model forecasts for Covid – the SAGE models were garbage. SAGE (spectator.co.uk)
Follow up: Where is Covid today?
Snap shot taken from covid19.who.int on Nov 2 2023:
Follow up: Oregon’s wild fires very subdued in 2023
By the numbers, the 2023 wildfire season in Oregon was a quiet one — with the smallest number of acres burned since 2019 and well below average for the past…
Follow up: Economic forecast models mostly useless
The New York Times also chimed in on the poor forecasting record of economists Monday in a separate story, “New Normal or No Normal? How Economists Got It Wrong for…
Models followup: Hurricane Otis forecast completely wrong
The 24 hour forecast for Hurricane Otis, lower lines, versus what actually happened – dashed line shooting almost straight up: Predicting the future often ends in failure. In this case,…
Public health followup: Covid cases continue to decline
The apocalyptic late summer/early fall Covid-19 triple-demic surge has not happened.
Follow up: Students isolating with Covid should be last to leave buildings on fire
In Oct 2020, the University of York told students self isolating in case they had Covid that they should delay exiting a building on fire...