Expert predictions of the future worse than random guesses
Tests have been run in the past that found expert predictions of the future - even in the not distant future - are highly inaccurate.
Opinion: Practicing Factfulness based on data.
Everything you think you know is probably not true or was spun in a misleading way. Read the book Factfulness to learn how much of what we think we know is not really true.
Tests have been run in the past that found expert predictions of the future - even in the not distant future - are highly inaccurate.
A pop meme in the media is "I moved abroad" stories, with about 80% detailing a move to Europe. Yet only about 20+/-% of Americans abroad live in Europe.
A staple meme of business reporting are stories about entrepreneurs who risked it all and achieved success. The reality is most business startups fail.
Up to 45% of humanities students study abroad and develop global skills; hardly any STEM students do this as their course schedules do not allow study abroad.
Study finds vegetarian/vegan eating reduces heart disease risk by 22%. But nearly all the benefit is from having lower body weight.
26-40% of education loan borrowers admit spending their loan money on non-education activities, experiences, travel and luxury goods.
A chart shared by a prominent X account appears to tell us nothing at all, due to how misleading it is. Wow.
The wealthy live off of loans and pay no income or capital gains tax. Not exactly, this is a distortion of what is being done.
Many charities are now de facto government subcontractors you fund with your taxes. Should you also donate directly? Individual donations often make up little of their revenue.
Study shows that PHEV owenrs operate their vehicles as PHEV electric vehicles far less than was assumed by the EPA. Many never plug into an outlet.