I wrote this a few days ago as a joke, a satire. I write a lot of things I never publish but save as drafts.

The experts say Omicron is doubling every two days. Therefore, starting with 73% of CDC’s recent daily report, where does this lead? It leads to everyone having Covid twice by January 16th and 283 times by the end of January.

That was intended as parody, something to laugh at.

And then the University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) issued its latest fantasy Covid-19 model [1].

An alarming report from the University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation is predicting 3 billion new infections of the omicron variant of COVID-19 over the next two months.

That’s as many infections as the world has seen since the COVID-19 pandemic first began, according to the IHME.

UW modelers project 3 billion new COVID-19 cases by February (mynorthwest.com)

IHME’s model output is always good for a laugh at least, even though their goal is always fear porn. Since their model output is unactionable (after nearly two years we’ve learned we have no control over the virus), its only purpose is to scare people.

Related question: Empirically, it is clear that nothing we did had any meaningful influence on the course of the pandemic, so why does epidemiology continue with its’s ancient religious beliefs and hand waving that their guidance has done a damned thing? Covid is real – it is epidemiology that is a hoax.

Footnote [1]

In the spring of 2020, the IHME models were widely noted as garbage. But too many people took them seriously. Same for the worthless ICL models. In March I injured my foot – however my state shut down all non-life-threatening health care access because of the fraudulent IHME model’s projection (which was off in space). IHME published their model parameters and their input values for my state (such as number of deaths) were all wrong. After this, my state discontinued using IHME’s fraudulent output.

13 weeks after my injury, I was diagnosed with a broken foot and a torn tendon. Christopher Murray, MD, PhD is the director of IHME – his fraudulent models were tantamount to the work of a sociopath. His actions are not going to be forgotten by me. I am reminded everyday thanks to an untreated broken foot.

Follow up in March of 2022

Almost 2 in 3 Americans will have Covid-19 by March of 2022 and most will have no symptoms, says IHME.

If nearly 2 in 3 Americans will have had Covid-19 by March of 2022, what was the purpose of the NPIs? NPIs clearly, unequivocally are incapable of stopping a pandemic. A pandemic concludes ONLY through immunity, or the virus mutates to a less bad form.

15-days-to-flatten-the-curve actually meant 2 years until 2 in 3 Americans have the disease. Geesh.

By EdwardM