My state’s health and science university issued a report in late August projecting that by the end of 2021, about 90% of the state’s residents will have been vaccinated or acquired immunity by having had Covid-19. At which point, the pandemic is mostly over with.
On that notes comes this new model:
The delta surge appears to be peaking nationally, and cases and deaths will likely decline steadily now through the spring without a significant winter surge, according to a new analysis shared with NPR by a consortium of researchers advising the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
But note that disease models have had the accuracy of astrology, so there’s that too.
The end point to a pandemic is immunity – either via vaccination or acquiring immunity by having had the disease. Vaccination is a safer approach than having Covid.