COVID-19 Forecasts: Cases | CDC

Source: COVID-19 Forecasts: Cases | CDC

This is the “ensemble” forecast assembled from multiple models. As you can see, the individual models range from near zero to near infinity. Average them  together and you get the red line at right – a horizontal line.

Only time will tell us what was correct. A CDC model from early May said Covid was likely to be under control by summer.

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