Epidemiologist Michael Osterholm, PhD, is concerned about low vaccination rates and rising COVID cases in some states across the country.
Osterholm was wrong again.
“I just want us to be cautious here,” Osterholm continued. “I know others will say, it’s not going to surge, I’m blowing this out of proportion. But you look at the numbers yourself. And when we look at this, we see in so many instances the situation where we do have substantial gaps in vaccination. … Certainly some in the Northwest where we’re seeing vaccine hesitancies, others in the South where we’re seeing vaccine hesitancy. So I just raise this point right now that I think we have to be careful to assume we’re done.”
From the article, these were the states, as of May 1, which needed to be worried about rising cases because of low vaccination rates.
- South Carolina
- West Virginia
Here is a Reuters graphic showing how all the states did. 2 of the 14 may have had small increases (hard to discern exact dates on the small graphs), and 12 of the 14 saw continued decreases.
Osterholm, who in January said over the next 6-14 weeks the U.S. would see a surge greater than anything the U.S. had seen so far, was wrong – again.
Epidemiologists lack self awareness that their projections have been wrong and useless much, if not most of the time during this pandemic.
Vaccinations are said to be why cases in the U.S. have fallen dramatically; however, the daily new cases in India also collapsed during the prior 3 weeks (after much media hysteria). Less than 4% of their population has been vaccinated – vaccines cannot explain that drop. The cases in India, on a per 100K population basis, are about 1/4th that of the U.S. Is that really sufficient to achieve natural immunity? If so, then that is why U.S. cases collapsed in January in advance of vaccines. The pandemic burned itself out just before many people had vaccines. Vaccines will help close out the pandemic but it looks – to this brain injured idiot – that the pandemic was burning out on its own.