There’s a 40% chance that the world will get so hot in the next five years that it will temporarily push past the temperature limit the Paris climate agreement is trying to prevent, meteorologists said. A new World Meteorological Organization forecast for the next several years also predicts a 90% chance that the world will set yet another record for the hottest year by the end of 2025 and that the Atlantic will continue to brew more potentially dangerous hurricanes than it used to.

Source: Forecast: 40% chance Earth to be hotter than Paris goal soon | WSBT

Model hypothesis:

  • 40% change global air temperature will exceed Paris climate target by 2026
  • 90% chance world will set hottest year by end of 2025
  • Vague goal “Atlantic will continue to brew more potentially dangerous hurricanes than it used to”

Have marked this for followup in 2025 and 2026 since the media never looks back at past projections.

You can read about what I have done to reduce my carbon foot print here.

 

By EdwardM