Youyang Gu did much better than the the experts at ICL and UW IHME.
Public health has stuck with ideas for hundreds of years that were shown in prior studies and reports not to work or not to work well. When the real world deviated from their models, they said the real world wasn’t cooperating. Hello?
The notes from Gu show us what public health needs to do: serious introspection and a re-thinking of what they do.
We did everything public health recommended, with high compliance. Yet we still had the same outcomes expected based on previous pandemics. So why did we bother with all this?