India sets Covid-19 infection record for fourth straight day

India reported 349,691 new cases of Covid-19 on Saturday, the fourth day in a row the country has set a world record for daily infections during the coronavirus pandemic, according to government and scientific tallies.The country also reported its highest daily death toll for the ninth consecutive day, adding 2,767 fatalities in the past 24 hours.

Source: India sets Covid-19 infection record for fourth straight day, with hospitals desperate for oxygen – KTVZ

Big numbers and a real problem.

For context, the population of India is 4.26x larger than the U.S. and those numbers would be similar to:

  • 82,087 new cases in the U.S.
  • 649 deaths in the U.S.

As of today, the 7-day moving average is 57,000 new cases/day, down from a peak of 200,000 new cases/day and 677 deaths/day in the U.S.

As a population ratio, the U.S. is doing worse on deaths, and 1/3 less on daily new cases now, but previously was doing 2 1/2 times more than in India right now.

The problem is that India’s epicurve is still unbounded and rising steeply. India may also have insufficient hospital capacity. That’s why this is a likely a very serious problem over the next weeks.

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