Read this paper by apparently well qualified authors. It presents an argument that we are near the end of the pandemic, that this end has been reached naturally, and that most interventions have had little effect.
Source: How Likely is a Second wave?
(Note – published on a “skeptic” site by qualified authors.)
I have been tracking my state’s data since late March, and drawing about 40 charts plus about a dozen separate calculated numbers. I have no expertise in health topics – but I can analyze data. I have been watching similar trends play out and have had similar thoughts or questions as presented in the non-peer reviewed paper, above.
Update: Here is an item from August that comes at the issue in a different way but has similar findings. That link goes to an anonymous author, but from the bio hints and the style of writing, appears to be someone with an academic background, probably a PhD in engineering from MIT, leader of some industry standards groups, and a self described advisor to several heads of state.